Città di Castello vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
SSD
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 2
SSD
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 2
TOD
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
3 - 2
SSD
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SSD
3 - 1
ZAG
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ORV
0 - 4
ACS
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ORV
1 - 1
PON
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
ORV
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ORV
5 - 0
VOL
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
ORV
39%
25%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |