Città di Castello vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
SSD
24%
25%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TOD
1 - 3
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 1
SSD
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
PIA
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
FOR
49%
26%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TOD
4 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ASD
3 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |