Città di Castello vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
ARZ
6 - 0
SSD
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
PRG
3 - 0
SSD
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2009 |
GAV
2 - 0
MON
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
DER
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
GAV
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |