Città di Castello vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 1
SSD
42%
26%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
JMO
33%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 1
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
SSD
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 1
SSD
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MPO
3 - 2
ASG
15%
23%
63%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 0
MPO
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MPO
1 - 0
USP
49%
27%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ACS
2 - 2
MPO
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
USP
2 - 1
MPO
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |