Città di Castello vs Latte Dolce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
SSD
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
SSD
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 3
NUO
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
3 - 2
SSD
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Latte Dolce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ULD
0 - 2
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAS
0 - 0
ULD
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ULD
0 - 1
ARZ
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 2
ULD
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ULD
2 - 1
OST
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |