Città di Castello vs Lanusei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
5 - 0
SSD
81%
14%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
RIE
9%
18%
74%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OST
3 - 1
SSD
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 3
MON
8%
14%
78%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
0 - 0
SSD
78%
17%
6%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
LAN
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 2
SAS
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
OST
27%
23%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
LAN
30%
24%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |