Città di Castello vs Jolly Montemurlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 1
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
SSD
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIA
2 - 1
SSD
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SSD
1 - 0
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
SSD
61%
22%
18%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 0
ASG
18%
23%
60%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
JMO
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
IMO
2 - 2
JMO
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JMO
2 - 3
SCA
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
JMO
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |