Città di Castello vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VMO
5 - 0
SSD
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 0
VFC
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 1
SSD
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 0
VOL
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JMO
2 - 0
SSD
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
JMO
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
GAV
29%
27%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GAV
1 - 0
FCV
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ACS
1 - 2
GAV
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GAV
1 - 0
ASG
25%
25%
49%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |