Città di Castello vs Flaminia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 0
SSD
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 1
SAN
18%
24%
58%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 1
SAS
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
SSD
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 1
LAN
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAS
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
LAN
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
FLA
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 2
RIE
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |