Città di Castello vs Flaminia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ORV
3 - 1
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 2
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 2
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TOD
1 - 0
SSD
50%
24%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SSD
31%
25%
45%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
FLA
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
PON
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
TOD
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ORV
2 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
FLA
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |