Città di Castello vs ASD Sporting Terni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SSD
1 - 1
SPO
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PIE
4 - 1
SSD
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 0
ASD
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
4 - 0
SSD
81%
13%
5%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 0
PIA
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 1
ACS
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PON
3 - 1
ASD
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 3
FLA
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ORV
2 - 0
ASD
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
ASD
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |