Città di Castello vs ASD Pontevecchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
4 - 0
SSD
81%
13%
5%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 0
PIA
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
SSD
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 1
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 0
SSD
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
ACS
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
ASD
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
ASD
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
TOD
41%
26%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |