Città di Castello vs ASD Pontevecchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SSD
80%
15%
6%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 1
ORV
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
SSD
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 1
ASD
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 0
SSD
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ASD
3 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
ASD
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 0
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 2
ASD
35%
25%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 2
DER
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |