Città di Castello vs ASD Pontevecchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ASD
3 - 2
SSD
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SSD
1 - 3
MON
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
ARZ
6 - 0
SSD
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
PRG
3 - 0
SSD
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 2
DER
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 2
ASD
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASD
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ASD
2 - 1
FOR
43%
25%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
ASD
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |