Città di Castello vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 3
SSD
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
0 - 0
USP
28%
27%
44%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SCA
3 - 3
SSD
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 3
GHI
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SSD
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
JMO
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FCV
0 - 0
ACS
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASG
15%
23%
62%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 3
ACS
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
USP
2 - 0
ACS
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |