Castel San Pietro Terme vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SDA
0 - 0
CSP
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CSP
0 - 1
VIR
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
PDC
2 - 1
CSP
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CSP
0 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ABM
2 - 2
CSP
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
PIS
17%
25%
58%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOR
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |