Castel San Pietro Terme vs FC Fossombrone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CSP
0 - 0
RIC
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
DPC
0 - 1
CSP
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 0
CSP
62%
22%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CSP
0 - 0
SDA
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CSP
1 - 0
PON
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ASC
0 - 0
BFM
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BFM
1 - 0
ACC
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BFM
0 - 1
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
BFM
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BFM
0 - 0
CAR
21%
24%
54%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |