Farul Constanța vs Sepsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
2º
1º
29
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 1
RAP
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
UCL
2 - 0
SFC
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
SSG
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
UTA
0 - 1
SFC
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
PET
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
SSG
4 - 0
CRA
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
STB
1 - 0
SSG
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SSG
2 - 2
CLU
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
SSG
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SSG
2 - 1
HER
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |