Farul Constanța vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
2º
1º
40
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 1
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
SFC
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 1
SSG
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 1
RAP
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
UCL
2 - 0
SFC
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CSU
1 - 1
CLU
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STB
1 - 1
CSU
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CSU
2 - 1
UTA
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
CSU
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
CSU
1 - 0
SCM
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |