Virtus Lanciano vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 3
VIR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
JUS
0 - 1
VIR
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LAT
0 - 0
VIR
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
JUS
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
TER
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
TER
74%
19%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |