Virtus Lanciano vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
26.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 3
VIR
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
JUS
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 0
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 2
VER
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
REG
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
TER
68%
22%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAS
0 - 0
TER
73%
20%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
GRO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |