Virtus Lanciano vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ASL
2 - 0
VIR
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
PIS
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 1
VIR
51%
28%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
NUO
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SSB
0 - 0
GEL
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
SSB
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SSB
3 - 2
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 2
SSB
77%
17%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAV
1 - 0
SSB
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |