Virtus Lanciano vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
PAD
47%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 3
VIR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
CTT
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
SIE
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
SIE
2 - 3
PAL
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 0
AVE
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
SIE
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |