Virtus Lanciano vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
VIR
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
PES
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
POT
0 - 2
VIR
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 0
GIU
60%
25%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 1
COS
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
REA
1 - 1
COS
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
REA
1 - 1
RIM
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAV
1 - 0
REA
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
REA
0 - 0
USF
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PES
3 - 3
REA
28%
27%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |