Virtus Lanciano vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
REA
2 - 1
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 0
PES
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 2
VIR
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
VIR
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 0
TAR
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 2
GAL
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POT
0 - 0
PAG
43%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |