Virtus Lanciano vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAT
2 - 2
VIR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
ACD
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
PRG
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
CES
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAL
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |