Virtus Lanciano vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
VIR
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
44%
30%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 3
VIR
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
JUS
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 0
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 2
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
LEO
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EMP
0 - 0
CRO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |