Virtus Lanciano vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 3
VIR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
JUS
0 - 1
VIR
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 1
JUS
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
PAD
3 - 2
VAR
31%
28%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAT
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |