Virtus Lanciano vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
30.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 1
VIR
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 1
PAT
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 3
VIR
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 2
CRO
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 0
TER
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LAQ
0 - 1
BEN
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 1
CRO
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
BEN
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BEN
4 - 0
SSS
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |