Virtus Lanciano vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIR
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
VIC
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
VIR
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
PRG
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
SPE
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
LEO
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 3
SPE
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |