Virtus Lanciano vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
VIR
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 2
JUS
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
AVE
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 0
VIR
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 2
SPE
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 2
NUO
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 4
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TER
2 - 2
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
ANC
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASC
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |