Virtus Lanciano vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 0
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
VIR
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIR
50%
27%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 1
BOL
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PES
1 - 1
CTT
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CTT
1 - 0
TRA
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 2
CTT
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |