Sambenedettese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
16.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.2%
23.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
SAM
1 - 1
SSS
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
PAR
51%
31%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PIS
4 - 1
SSS
62%
25%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
LEC
45%
32%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
36%
33%
31%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 1
SPA
64%
24%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 2
PIS
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
47%
31%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPA
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |