Sambenedettese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
TOR
1 - 0
SSS
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
SSS
2 - 0
ARZ
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
COM
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
24%
27%
50%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
VER
2 - 1
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAP
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
SPA
2 - 1
FCC
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |