Sambenedettese vs Santegidiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATE
1 - 1
SSS
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SSS
0 - 0
ISE
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 1
SSS
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SSS
0 - 0
RCA
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
SSS
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santegidiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
REA
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIV
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RCA
2 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATE
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ISE
3 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |