Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
17.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
PES
2 - 0
SSS
59%
27%
14%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
33%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
SSS
62%
25%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
ARZ
43%
32%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 1
SSS
60%
27%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
PAR
4 - 1
VIC
36%
32%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
48%
32%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
42%
33%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAR
48%
30%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |