Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
20.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
28.3%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
45%
33%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SSS
46%
32%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAD
41%
32%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
SSS
0 - 0
EMP
40%
31%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
CES
44%
31%
25%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAR
68%
22%
10%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARZ
41%
32%
27%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
PES
3 - 0
PAR
63%
24%
13%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |