Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ASS
3 - 1
SSS
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
BRE
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
VER
3 - 0
SSS
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 2
UDI
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 1
SSS
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
PRO
5 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 0
USF
40%
25%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
ASS
3 - 1
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
PAR
3 - 0
COS
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
PAR
2 - 2
MES
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |