Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MES
1 - 2
SSS
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
PAL
3 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 2
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
GEN
5 - 0
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
PAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PAR
3 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAR
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
PAR
1 - 0
ASS
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |