Sambenedettese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
REG
1 - 0
SSS
54%
26%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 3
PRO
35%
28%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 0
SSS
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SSS
1 - 3
VNZ
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 1
SSS
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
USC
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ACL
0 - 1
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 3
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 0
NOV
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |