Sambenedettese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
REG
4 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 1
SSS
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAL
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
PRO
2 - 1
SSS
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
VNZ
2 - 1
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
USA
4 - 1
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 0
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |