Sambenedettese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
COM
3 - 0
SSS
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 1
FCC
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
VNZ
4 - 2
SSS
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
TAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
VNZ
4 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |