Sambenedettese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
BAR
2 - 0
SSS
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
VIS
4 - 0
SSS
46%
22%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
VIS
8 - 1
SSS
34%
23%
43%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 2
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRO
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 1
NOV
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |