Sambenedettese vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 4
SSS
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 1
SSS
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 1
AVE
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FER
3 - 3
SSS
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
SAN
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
JES
41%
24%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 2
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
AMI
41%
24%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |