Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 2-3
Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 2
USF
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 4
SSS
31%
31%
39%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
SSS
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
SSS
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
BOL
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ANC
1 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 1
UDI
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |