Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
MES
2 - 1
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 2
REG
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
SSS
59%
21%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 0
BAR
41%
30%
30%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 1
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
64%
20%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 1
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +1 |