Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MAN
1 - 0
SSS
65%
19%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
TRI
2 - 0
SSS
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 3
ACM
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
PAR
1 - 1
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
CAG
1 - 1
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1960 |
NOV
4 - 1
MOD
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
MOD
0 - 2
MES
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 1
FCC
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOD
59%
22%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |