Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
17%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
26.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
FCC
1 - 0
SSS
62%
24%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 0
UDI
29%
33%
39%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 0
SSS
58%
27%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 1
PAR
36%
33%
31%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
EMP
0 - 0
SSS
57%
28%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
MES
1 - 1
COS
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
PAD
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
MES
1 - 1
USC
50%
29%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
MES
2 - 3
ANC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
MES
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |