Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
24.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 0
SSS
56%
27%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
SSS
0 - 0
PIA
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 1
SSS
46%
30%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
SSS
0 - 0
SSB
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
PAR
1 - 1
SSS
52%
29%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MES
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
MES
3 - 0
BAR
48%
29%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |