Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
28.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
BOL
3 - 1
SSS
64%
24%
11%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
SSS
53%
32%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 2
PES
41%
32%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SSS
68%
22%
10%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
SSS
2 - 0
USC
37%
34%
29%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
MES
0 - 0
PES
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
CAT
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
39%
30%
30%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
TRI
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
PIS
3 - 1
MES
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |